Shmueli, G., "To Explain or To Predict?", Statistical Science, vol. 25, issue 3, pp. 289-310, 2010. Stat Science published.pdf (293.36 KB)

Dillard, B. L., and G. Shmueli, "Wavelet-Based Monitoring for Disease Outbreaks and Bioterrorism: Methods and Challenges", InterStat, vol. 3, issue March, 2010.

Shmueli, G., and O. Koppius, "The Challenge of Prediction in Information Systems Research", Working Paper (RHS 06-058) : Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2009.

Lotze, T., and G. Shmueli, "How does improved forecasting benefit detection? An application to biosurveillance", International Journal on Forecasting, vol. 25, pp. 467-483, 2009. IJF2009 ForecastingBiosurveillance.pdf (2.19 MB)

Kenett, R. S., and G. Shmueli, "On Information Quality", Working Paper (RHS 06-100) Smith School of Business, University of Maryland,, 2009.

Shmueli, G., "To Explain or To Predict?", Working Paper (RHS 06-099) Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2009.

Bapna, R., W. Jank, and G. Shmueli, "Consumer Surplus in Online Auctions", Informations Systems Research, vol. 19, issue 4, pp. 400-416, 12/2008. consumerSurplusOnlineAuctionsRevised ISR-2006-181-R2-Final.pdf (486.44 KB) Tracking Consumer Savings on eBay — bits.blogs_.nytimes.pdf (84.05 KB) Study shows eBay buyers save billions of dollars.pdf (87.47 KB) Report_ eBay Sales Prices Wildly Low — www.wired_.pdf (102.03 KB)

Wang, S., W. Jank, and G. Shmueli, "Explaining and Forecasting Online Auction Prices and their Dynamics using Functional Data Analysis", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, vol. 26, issue 3, pp. 144-160, 2008. JBES 2008 PredictingOnlineAuctions.pdf (1.06 MB)

Wang, S., W. Jank, G. Shmueli, and P. Smith, "Modeling Price Dynamics in eBay Auctions Using Principal Differential Analysis", Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), vol. 103, issue 483, pp. 1100-1118, 2008. JASA 2008 Auctions PDA.pdf (1.06 MB)

Lotze, T., S. Murphy, and G. Shmueli, "Preparing Biosurveillance Data for Classic Monitoring", Advances in Disease Surveillance, vol. 6, 2008. DataPreparation AdvDisSurv.pdf (470.11 KB)

Bapna, R., W. Jank, and G. Shmueli, "Price Formation and its Dynamics in Online Auctions", Decision Support Systems, vol. 44, pp. 641-656, 2008. DSS 2008 Price Dynamics.pdf (674.41 KB)

Rettinger, F., W. Jank, G. Tutz, and G. Shmueli, "Smoothing Sparse and Unevenly-Sampled Curves using Semiparametric Mixed Models: An Application to Online Auctions", Journal of The Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 57, issue 2, pp. 127-148, 2008. JRSSC.57.2 (2008) 127-148.pdf (1.39 MB)

Shmueli, G., W. Jank, and V. Hyde, "Transformations for Semi-Continuous Data", Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, vol. 52, issue 8, pp. 4000-4020, 2008. CSDA-semiContinuousData.pdf (1.51 MB)

Burkom, H. S., S. Murphy, and G. Shmueli, "Automated Time Series Forecasting for Biosurveillance", Statistics in Medicine, vol. 26, issue 22, pp. 4202-4218, 2007. AutomatedForecasting BurkomMurphyShmueli print version.pdf (549.87 KB)

Shmueli, G., R. P. Russo, and W. Jank, "The BARISTA: A Model for Bid Arrivals in Online Auctions", Annals of Applied Statistics, vol. 1, issue 2, pp. 412-441, 2007. BARISTA datasets.xls (1.23 MB)

Jank, W., and G. Shmueli, "Modeling Concurrency of Events in Online Auctions via Spatio-Temporal Semiparametric Models", Journal of The Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 60, issue 1, pp. 1-27, 2007.

"Accelerating Statistical Research in Drug Safety", Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, vol. 15, issue 9, pp. 687-688, 2006.

Fienberg, S. E., and G. Shmueli, "Comment on "A Bayesian Dynamic Model for Influenza Surveillance" by Sebastiani, Mandl, Szolovits, Kohane, and Ramoni", Statistics in Medicine, vol. 25, issue 11, pp. 1821-1822, 2006.

Kadane, J. B., G. Shmueli, T. P. Minka, S. Borle, and P. Boatwright, "Conjugate Analysis of the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson Distribution", Bayesian Analysis, vol. 1, issue 2, pp. 363-374, 2006. kadane363-374.pdf (183.73 KB)

Kadane, J. B., R. Krishnan, and G. Shmueli, "A Data Disclosure Policy for Count Data Based on the COM-Poisson Distribution", Management Science, vol. 52, issue 10, pp. 1610-1617, 2006. Manuscript (136.11 KB)